November 4, 2008

Lights On!

I received an email today from one of my SitNGoTraining.com students. I love getting messages like this. Enjoy!


Hi, I just came across your blog yesterday, I have read the whole thing and improved my game already! I got Tournament Indicator, and placed 1st in the first tourney, and 2nd in the second one. I just wanted to say THANK YOU! That program and your blog have made me feel like I have been driving at night without the lights on, and finally I figured out where the switch is to turn them on! ;)  I really hope your blog continues soon, and you go over some of the strategy for the big, multi-table tourneys! Have a great day, and Happy Election Day! :)

Kristina

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September 15, 2008

Why Bankroll Management?

I regularly check my visitor referral information at SitNGoTraining.com. The referral information tells me where visitors come from and how they found my site. Many visitors come to my site as a result of a question they typed into one of the major search engines. Just yesterday a visitor typed the following question:

What does poker bankroll management protect you from?

What a great question. I have addressed this in my lesson on bankroll management but I wanted to expand on one of the reasons in this post.

One of the primary reasons for bankroll management is to protect you for the inevitable swings that WILL occur in your luck. That's right, I said the nasty word... LUCK. No matter how skilled you are as a player, poker still involves luck. Just ask Phil Hellmuth who is quoted as saying... "If there weren't luck involved I guess I'd win every one!"

I've often heard the coin-toss analogy used to explain the luck swings. In a nutshell, if you flip a coin enough times it will land heads roughly half the time and tails the other half of the time. However, it won't rotate evenly between head and tails. For a period of time it might land heads many more times than it does tails. And other times it might land tails many more times than it does heads. This is the luck swing that I am referring to. You have no control over it and it will happen regardless of anything you do to try to stop it.

There will be times when the cards go your way--when luck is in your favor and it seems like you can do no wrong. We've all been there (and love it!), but it never lasts. There will also be times when you are playing your best game (or at least you think you are!) but the cards just don't seem to go in your favor--your opponent catches that one-outer, or your draws never seem to complete. It is during these negative times that you must have a large enough bankroll to continue playing through the negative swing until your luck balances out.

So back to the question... What does poker bankroll management protect you from? It protects you from the inevitable swings that will occur as a result of bad luck. If you have a large enough bankroll you can play through the swings without worrying about going broke.

Now, if you feel like you are constantly on the negative side of the luck swing, maybe you need to focus on developing your skill further! For free poker strategy and training, check out my website at SitNGoTraining.com.

Good LUCK at the tables!

August 11, 2008

Responding to a Preflop Raiser

I received an interesting question from one of my Sit N Go Training Course readers:

I've come across this situation a few times now and I am not sure what I should be doing as your training does not discuss it. What do I do if I have a +EV hand bigger than my M value but someone raises before me. A couple of times now I have had a PP and put a re-raise in only to have them put me all in. Since it is late in the tourney, I'm at a point where since I already raised, my M-factor becomes less than 7, so I call and find myself against a bigger PP. What would be the best course of action in this situation? Do I fold and leave myself with an M-factor lower than 7?

This is a great question, so I thought I would post my response here also. The answer is highly dependent on the situation. This is the type of thing that my future lessons get into (if I ever get around to finishing them!)... how to modify the basic strategy based on your observations at the table. So, to start off, some things to think about...

First, if your raise is equal or greater than 1/3rd your stack, just shove it all in to begin with. If you raise 1/3rd, you do not have enough money behind to push your opponent out on the flop or turn (they have pot odds to call). So if you are going to commit 1/3rd your stack, put it all in. If you shove, your opponent might fold. But if you put 1/3rd in, it is equal to shoving (because you are pot committed), except your opponent might stay.

In the situation of someone raising before you, think about three things.

First, who is the person that raised and what does the raise mean. The next lesson will teach about active observation. This is basically carefully observing all the plays of your opponents and drawing conclusions based on that information. If the person who raised before you rarely raises and only shows down strong hands, it is likely that he is raising with real strength (and you will get called if you reraise or shove). In that situation, unless you have AA or KK, I'd dump the hand and wait for a better opportunity to get your chips in. However, if the raise comes from a very loose player or someone that you have observed raise preflop and then fold to a reraise, shove it in! But if they are loose and a gambler, in other words they call with crap just because it is fun, again, wait for a better opportunity.

Second, think about who is left to act behind you. Are the players left to act tight players who don't like to get involved unless they have strong hands? or are they people who have shown a tendency to gamble. In other words, is there anyone behind you that you expect to reraise or shove? If so, you might want to wait for a better opportunity because the PFR'er might call and then you are in a three-way battle. Not the situation you are looking for.

Third, think about how far you are from the money. If you are on the bubble (1 away from the money), you decision is highly dependent on your stack size compared to the others at the table. If there is a player in the red zone and the blinds are going to hit him before you, it usually makes sense to wait it out. If you are the small stack, that increases the need to be the first one to raise. So in both situations I would avoid the confrontation.

Again, there are numerous other things to consider in this situation, but these ideas should start you thinking in the right direction.

Good luck at the tables!

July 30, 2008

Full Tilt Sit & Go Madness!

Sit & Go Madness has returned to Full Tilt Poker! The event starts at 4 pm EST this Friday, August 1st, and ends at 4 pm on Sunday, August 3rd.

For more information, go to Full Tilt Poker and click on the "Sit & Go Madness" tab.

See you at the tables!

Questions and Comments Welcome!

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